The last time the U.S. Open was played at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Southhampton, N.Y.—in 2004—players were faced with a near-impossible combination of firm and fast conditions accentuated by punishing rough. The USGA is likely to have learned from their setup mistakes since then, but the historic Shinnecock—one of the five founding USGA clubs—is sure to provide a stern test. The usual cast of young players that have dominated the past few seasons are playing well, and Tiger appears to be nearing a triumphant first victory in his latest return.

Here are our picks for who you could see topping the leaderboard at Shinnecock on Sunday at the U.S. Open.

Dustin Johnson

After a commanding win this weekend at the St. Jude Classic, Johnson reclaimed the world no. 1 spot that he held for 64 straight weeks, before falling to no. 2 a month ago. With two wins under  his belt this season, you’ve got to like his chances to win his second U.S. Open.

Bryson Dechambeau

A scientist. An artist. Call him what you want, Dechambeau’s got game—and after a win at Memorial, he appears to be in top shape heading into the U.S. Open. He’s already a USGA champion, too, capturing the U.S. Amateur in 2015. In a season where Dechambeau seems to be finding his feet on the PGA Tour, and a putter that is finally cooperating, all signs point to a successful week at Shinnecock. At the very least, you can be sure that he’ll be well prepared.

Tiger Woods

A comeback for the ages? A 15^th major victory doesn’t seem nearly as farfetched as it did last year—or even six months ago. Tiger is back, and his ball striking is the best it’s been in years—seriously, his strokes gained tee to green was the second best he’s ever recorded since the stat has been tracked. And we all know that Tiger plans to peak around the majors, so if he is able to lean on the putter like the Tiger of old, don’t be surprised if he etches his name into the U.S. Open trophy for a fourth time.

Jordan Spieth

Spieth is another player who should never be counted out around a major championship. Sure, he hasn’t had the best season so far, but Shinnecock is sure to be firm and fast, and that’s where Spieth thrives. And with three major championships under his belt already, he’s used to the pressure. Look for Spieth to be making a move to the top of the leaderboard on Thursday or Friday—that’s where he’s most comfortable, and he’ll try to hold on from there.

Justin Rose

Probably the best player on the planet over the last eight months, Rose is showing no signs of slowing down. He’s 3^rd in the Official World Golf Rankings and 2^nd in FedExCup points, and has been a beacon of consistency since late last year. And with a win and a tie for 6^th in his last two starts, Rose appears to be peaking at the right time. He has the length, he has the accuracy, and there is no reason that Rose couldn’t easily capture his second U.S. Open Father’s Day victory this week, just like he did at Merion in 2013.

Brooks Koepka

Let’s not forget the defending champion. Koepka has been dealing with some injury troubles this season, forcing him to miss the brunt of the spring schedule. But his game looks to be trending in the right direction, with an 11^th place finish at the Players Championship and a runner-up at Colonial marking his last two starts. If Koepka is bombing his driver like he did last year, we could see a back-to-back U.S. Open champion.

The Canadians

Adam Hadwin

As the lone Canadian exempt into the field (others were forced to battle through sectional qualifying), Hadwin is due for some great play. He’s had an average season so far, but his tactical game will be a great fit at Shinnecock. He’s hitting nearly 70% of his greens in regulation this season, a stat that will be extremely important come U.S. Open week.

Garrett Rank

Almost certainly the best story at the U.S. Open this year, the Canadian amateur is playing in his first major championship. Rank, a full-time NHL Referee, is just a few weeks removed from the hockey season which saw him work over 70 games. But don’t think he’s rusty—he and a partner made the quarter final of the U.S. Amateur Four Ball in May, he finished runner-up at a major amateur event in Peru, and he just earned co-medalist honours at his U.S. Open sectional qualifier. And he’s no stranger to USGA events—he’s played a number of U.S. Amateurs and Mid-Amateurs, nearly winning the latter in 2012. John Goodman was the last amateur to win the U.S. Open back in 1933—a victory by Rank this year is about the only thing that could make his story any sweeter.

Dark Horse: Brian Harman

Let’s look at the last two U.S. Open winners at Shinnecock. Corey Pavin in 1995 and Retief Goosen in 2004—they’re both tacticians, not bombers. Brian Harman seems like a logical choice for a player to follow in their footsteps. He currently ranks 23^rd on tour in driving accuracy, and he finished in a tie for 2^nd at last year’s U.S. Open. Harman is a great dark horse pick for a player to nab his first major championship at Shinnecock.